The new deal signed in 2023 represents a desperate and necessary grab for sovereignty. Whether it is enough to sustain Botswana's future depends less on De Beers and more on how quickly Gaborone can turn diamond wealth into a post-diamond economy. For now, the partnership remains a "marriage of convenience" where both parties are sleeping with one eye open.
The central argument for Botswana getting a "raw deal" revolves around value addition. The new deal signed in 2023 represents a
De Beers has historically had the right to buy 100% of Debswana's production. Critics argue that De Beers then sells diamonds at higher prices through its global distribution network, leaving Botswana with only mining profits and taxes, not downstream margins. The central argument for Botswana getting a "raw
The coming months are critical. If Botswana secures a deal that gives it control over independent sales and a higher percentage of rough stones, it will set a new precedent for global resource nationalism. If it caves, the "gold standard" might start to look a little tarnished. The coming months are critical
Transfer pricing—where goods are sold between entities of the same company—could be stripping the country of tax revenue.